Jamais Cascio; A World in Which; In His Blog entitled Open The Future; 2016?
The piece is the full text of a talk
- Workshop entitled New Body Language, on wearables.
- Program Technology Horizons
- Venue Institute for the Future
Why do we think about the future?
- Because we
<snide>Institute for Idle Curiosity About Tomorrow</snide>.
- The future because
- that the future matters
- that we still have a say in the future we get
- Think of the future in generational terms, not just as a count of years.
- The Study of the future
The “study” of the future is foresight.
- to act appropriately, to act responsibly
- for prudence
- It is cultural anthropology
- economics <ahem>which is a religion</quote>
- Who listens to these stories?
- <quote>[NOT] academic cabals that communicate through peer-reviewed journals and passive-aggressive blog posts. </quote>
- folks whom might not know <quote>The future is a journey, not a destination.</quote>
- Be a storytellers so they will listen & buy.
- Narrative, renarrative.
- anticipatory history.
- depictions of change, via story.
- [there exists a plurality of] foresight practitioners who dislike the storytelling trope, because storytelling seems too unserious. AND THIS IS SERIOUS.
- Joseph Campbell
- <quote>We use a narrative of the imaginary to explain the deep structure of the world.</quote> The parable system.
- “strategic wind-tunneling”
- “contingency analysis”
- “preference-agnostic outcome projection”
- Foresight scenarios
- are myth-making
- are explicit stories of how the world works.
This is a world in which…
- The blatant introduction
- The futurist’s version of once upon a time.
- All assumptions about the way of things come under scrutiny.
- What do I want this world to be?
- How does this future differ from the here and now?
- What is the story of this new reality?
Scenarios ~ Science Fiction
Similar work product, but distinct mindset & accents.
- use characters to highlight world structure
- packed tight in the limited space
- multiple story lines
- uses world structure to advance character development.
- sparse detail
- as much space as the audience has time for; trilogy? serialized saga?
- single story line, by definition.
- Useful foresight scenarios need to be about people, our desires and our fears.
- Technologies are fundamentally cultural artifacts
- Technologies’creation and use are manifestations of [the] values, beliefs, and intentions of their [owners, developers, a.k.a. their creators].
- These need to be stories of how we live our lives, not just a catalog of inventions lightly sprinkled with global events.
- They should ask us, how do we grapple with the challenges presented to us by a world in which?
- Scenarios should seem to be either utopian or dystopian.
- the scientism <quote>part of the brain that lights up when</quote>
- <aphorism>skate to where the puck will be</aphorism> attributed to Wayne Gretzky.
- “the past is a foreign country,” attributed to LP Hartley.
- “the future is already here, it’s just not evenly distributed yet,” William Gibson.
- William Gibson.
- Wayne Gretzky.
- Leslie Poles Hartley, 1895-12-30→1972-12-13; Jimi Wales’ Wiki
Body Area Networks
- Papers, Please
- X-Ray Vision
Body Area Networks are commonplace and diverse, but with different rules and affordances in different parts of the world.
- Can privacy be possible here?
- Can you ever be alone in this world?
- What risks might you run seeking to be by yourself?
- Republic of Scotland
- “back in the day” was the Age of Anonymous.
A trip abroad is explained:
- arrival with external passports,
- sightseeing internal passports,
- health care emergency is sketched,
- a return to home and safety is completed.
- with encryption
- system monitors
- component isolation
Connection, determinism: technologies are built to be connected.
- Who owns that connection?
Who controls the off switch?
- body-area networks are called “selfies”
<quote>Although the information is private, it may still be accessible by families, by governments, or by the device manufacturers</quote> (anyone but you, anyone but the person sitting next to you?)
- Earthquake swarm of on the Hayward Fault in 2024.
- Demonstrations, Sao Paolo, 2038-04.
Is it possible that the best outcome might be if nobody controls the off switch?
- Personal Area Network Devices and Accessories — PANDAs
- Like a FitBit, but more so.
- Girlfriend Isabella — “Izzy.”
- Shared feelings across telecom.
- She dies in a car.
- What if?
- Would you get rid of it?
The sibling who holds the featurephone that contains the last SMS being typed when she crashed into the car in front of her. [cite?]